I just discovered Ian Johnston’s writing, and I’m loving his perspective! Here’s one he recently posted on Quora: – cPaul
If the US collapses, will the states become independent, annexed by a foreign nation such as Mexico or Canada, form their own unions, or just disappear?
Ian Johnston | Quora
So, a US collapse is different than each and every state becoming independent. The Soviet Union collapsed, but that didn’t make every Russian province an independent entity. Indeed, the overwhelming majority stayed with Russia, and it was the healthily developed and culturally and ethnically distinct regions that broke away from the Russian motherland. In the case of the United States collapsing, a similar thing would occur, such as this:
Let’s rattle off the new(ish) nations following a collapse, starting with the motherland herself.
The United States of America
Capital: Washington, District of Columbia
Having lost twenty states entirely, and having had to partition another four, some consider the United States of America a rump state, though it does not fit that definition, as it is still retains much of its core territories, but it is drastically reduced. Cut off from the Pacific Ocean and most of the Gulf of Mexico, the US has been forced to drastically reduce its military size and reallocate most of its navy to the Atlantic. Economically struggling with the loss of its three largest economies, the US is now attempting to reindustrialize, but is quickly finding that the funds and geopolitical goodwill towards such an effort are evaporating quickly.
Republic of Canada
The annexation of New York, New England, the northern half of New Jersey and Alaska has presented a massive economic boom for the new Republic of Canada, which was declared following the death of Queen Elizabeth II as part of Canada’s exit from the Commonwealth of Nations. Canada now controls New York City, the effective capital of the planet as the seat of global commerce and diplomacy. Expanding its already enormous and resource-rich western hinterland, Canada has nearly doubled its population, a fact which has led to a great deal of hand-wringing on the part of many traditionalists, who view the annexation as having the potential for the former Americans to overrun Canadian politics.
Commonwealth of Cascadia
(Credit to reddit user r0bbins for this flag)
Capital: San Francisco
The Commonwealth of Cascadia was originally formed out of three states, Washington, Oregon, and California, however they rapidly annexed western Idaho and Nevada, and accepted a referendum held by Hawaii to depart the United States and join Cascadia. This has significantly soured relations between the two countries, meanwhile a warm relationship is forming with Canada, and as a major Pacific power, Cascadia is rapidly developing a large blue water navy to counter fears of Chinese incursions in the central and eastern Pacific.
Allied States of Dixie
Dixieland nearly broke out into a second rebellion, but by making a peace agreement with the US forfeiting the Atlantic seaboard and most of Florida, the Allied States of Dixie were able to peacefully depart with the others during the two year period of collapse of 2026–2028. Despite many stereotypes about the racist nature of the South, there is at least equality under law with regards to race, though many women’s rights, such as birth control and abortion are heavily curbed, with the latter being banned and the former unable to be covered by health insurance. Dixie is heavily developing its south coast and investing heavily in oil development in the Gulf of Mexico, much to the annoyance of many ecologically minded powers, such as Cascadia.
Republic of Texas
The Republic of Texas was the first to depart the Union in 2026, and upon doing so, faced a hearty challenge on the part of an attempted territory grab by Mexico in the Rio Grade Valley, ostensibly to “protect ethnic Mexicans”. This resulted in a brief but bloody conflict known as the Second War of Texan Independence. The conflict ended in a humiliating defeat for Mexico, and the heavy militarization of the Rio Grande border. Possessing a large, diverse economy and decent relations with the former United States, Texas is internally rocked by schisms among its Latino population, as well as the increasingly polarized politics of the day. Theoretically starting out strong, the new republic is rapidly weakening, and may fall into its own civil war should it fail to turn things around.